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The poll was carried out between November 1 and November 4, and has the Conservatives seven points ahead of Labour. The Tories are up three points on 38 percent, followed by Labour on 31 percent with the Liberal Democrats a distant third on just 15 percent, down one point. Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party continues to lose support, polling nine percent, down two points, but still well ahead of the Greens, who come in fifth on three percent.
In a major blow to Lib Dem’ hopes of hoovering up disaffected Tory Remainers, the Conservatives appear to be performing impressively among those who voted Remain in 2016 and Conservative in 2017.
Nearly seven in ten pro-Remain Conservatives said that they intend to stick with the Tories (67 percent).
The Tories also seem to be doing a better job of capturing 2016 Leave voters than Labour are doing of capturing 2016 Remain voters.
Just under six in ten Leave voters intend to vote Tory (57%), while less than half of Remain voters intend to vote Labour (45%)
The Prime Minister will be further buoyed by news that support for the Tories is holding firm among those who voted for the party in the 2017 election.
Nearly eight in ten of those who voted Tory last time around say that they will vote Conservative again (77%), compared to just over seven in ten 2017 Labour voters who say that they will vote Labour again (73%).
The news that the majority of Leave voters intend to vote for the Tories, coupled with the Brexit Party’s poor polling results will ease Conservative fears that Mr Farage’s pledge to field more than 600 candidates could seriously damage the party’s electoral chances by splitting the Leave vote.
Earlier on Monday at the Brexit Party’s campaign launch in London, Mr Farage said that his party would contest every seat outside Northern Ireland.
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“These people are physically here today to sign their nomination papers.”
In response to a question on whether an electoral pact with the Tories was dead, he said: “I don’t know, but I have to take the attitude that I’ve tried like crazy over week after week to put together a leave alliance that would win a huge majority, and all I get is abuse back.
“So in the end you begin to think – what’s the point?”
Mr Farage provided a foretaste of what his attack lines against Boris Johnson are going to be.
He condemned the Prime Minister’s Brexit deal as being barely better than that of Theresa May, which he called “a document that you would only have signed if you were beaten in war”.
In reference to the Conservative catchphrase “get Brexit done”, he added: ”Now that is a very tempting slogan on a public who, after three and a half years of this process, have in many cases just about had enough.
“But the problem is, it doesn’t get Brexit done.
‘All it does is take us into another three years of agonising negotiations.”
Mr Farage conceded that the party’s best chances of winning seats would be in Labour-held constituencies, which voted strongly for Leave in 2016 and which are represented by pro-Remain MPs.
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