Boris Johnson opened up a 14 point poll lead over the Labour Party as it was claimed he will ‘sabotage’ a Brexit delay if he is unable to secure a deal with the EU before the October 31 deadline.
The Conservative Party is polling at 35 per cent in a new YouGov survey with Labour far behind on 21 per cent, the Lib Dems on 19 per cent and the Brexit Party on 12 per cent.
The poll suggests that Mr Johnson’s hardline pledge to take Britain out of the bloc by Halloween with or without a deal is resonating with Leave voters and illustrates why Downing Street is so keen on an early general election.
But while Mr Johnson may be surging in the polls, his Brexit strategy continues to cause chaos in Westminster amid claims he will ignore an anti-No Deal law and trigger a showdown in the Supreme Court rather than break his ‘do or die’ promise.
The Prime Minister will try to agree a new deal with Brussels at a summit on October 17 but should he fail he will then reportedly refuse to comply with legislation passed by MPs.
A new rebel law, due to receive Royal Assent as early as tomorrow, requires the PM to ask the EU for a Brexit extension if the two sides have not struck an agreement in the run up to Halloween.
But Mr Johnson is apparently willing to defy the law in a move which Downing Street believes would guarantee an immediate judicial review in the Supreme Court with the fate of Brexit placed in the hands of judges just days before the October 31 deadline.
Tory MPs responded to the news last night by saying they would resign the whip if their leader tried to disregard the law.
The emergence of the bombshell strategy, detailed in The Sunday Times, came as Amber Rudd resigned from the Cabinet and surrendered the Tory whip.
Ms Rudd said she could not continue to serve as work and pensions secretary after the PM sacked 21 Tory Remainer rebels for backing a bid to block No Deal, accusing him of an ‘assault on decency and democracy’.
She also claimed there was ‘no evidence’ that Mr Johnson was trying to strike a deal with Brussels and said she would stand as an independent conservative in her Hastings and Rye constituency at the next election.
This morning Ms Rudd told the BBC that ’80 to 90 per cent’ of the government’s efforts were now concentrated on preparing for a No Deal split from the EU.
She said she had ‘absolutely no idea’ if other ministers could follow her in quitting the Cabinet as she outlined her belief that Mr Johnson ‘will obey the law’ when it comes to the crunch.
But Sajid Javid, the Chancellor, struck a defiant tone as he said ‘the government will not change its policy’ over keeping a No Deal split as an option.
Meanwhile, Dominic Raab, the Foreign Secretary, said the government will ‘test to the limit’ the legislation passed by MPs in comments which suggest ministers will try to work around the law.
Ms Rudd’s decision to walk away represented another hammer blow to Mr Johnson’s premiership, coming just days after the PM’s own brother Jo quit the government over Brexit.
Downing Street announced this morning that Therese Coffey had replaced Ms Rudd as Work and Pensions Secretary.
Boris Johnson (pictured getting onto a plane to leave Balmoral yesterday) is setting himself up for a major constitutional battle
Carrie Symonds visited the Queen at Balmoral with Mr Johnson, and was also seen getting onto the plane
Amber Rudd, pictured leaving her London home this morning, quit the government and surrendered the Tory whip last night
Mr Johnson’s approach seems to be paying off among some voters, with the Tories at 35%, 14 points above Labour
Mr Johnson will tomorrow try for a second time to trigger a snap general election as he urges MPs to back going to the country on October 15.
But opposition leaders have united and agreed they will not support an early poll taking place until a Brexit delay has been formally agreed with the EU to stop Britain crashing out of the bloc in just 53 days.
However, Downing Street has worked up a fall back plan should Mr Johnson’s bid for an election fail.
The plan would see him ignore an anti-No Deal law passed by MPs and peers last week.
He would go to the final EU summit before Brexit and seek an agreement but should one not be forthcoming he would then refuse to ask for the delay the law states he must.
Such a move would spark a political, constitutional and legal firestorm because the PM would be actin in open defiance of the law.
Number 10 believes the matter would then be referred to the Supreme Court. Legal experts believe Mr Johnson could ultimately risk a jail sentence if he fails to comply with the law.
A Number 10 source said: ‘If there isn’t a deal by the 18th we will sabotage the extension.’
Meanwhile, a Whitehall source said Mr Johnson’s government was prepared to ‘take a chainsaw to anything’ to make sure the UK leaves the EU on time.
Any attempt to ignore the anti-No Deal law passed by Parliament would prompt a furious backlash from MPs and peers.
Last night Tory MPs warned the PM that they would resign the whip if he went through with such a strategy.
Kevin Hollinrake, a Conservative backbencher, told The Sunday Telegraph: ‘You would see a significant number of Conservative MPs resigning the whip, including me.’
Number 10 believes that while the move would be unpopular in Westminster, it would resonate well with the Leave voters it wants to win over ahead of an early general election.
It came as Ms Rudd quit the government and surrendered the Tory whip as the UK’s political meltdown continued apace.
Ms Rudd said she ‘no longer believes leaving with a deal is the government’s main objective’.
‘He’s so focused on one element, preparing for No Deal, he’s not engaging enough with the need to get a deal,’ she said.
‘My mother used to say: “Judge a man by what he does and not by what he says”. I am concerned that he’s not doing enough to make true what he says is his priority.’
She also labelled his decision to eject 21 MPs from the Conservative party an ‘act of political vandalism’ and accused him of ‘unwisely’ putting parliament against the people.
Describing the decision to remove the whip from MPs as an ‘assault on decency and democracy’, she said: ‘Number 10 wants the 21 not to be there as MPs because they need those seats to be occupied by people who support their No Deal plan.’
Ms Rudd’s tweet tonight with her letter to the Prime Minister, a long-time friend and ally
Then Home Secretary Amber Rudd (left) and then Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson (right) wait for Theresa May to deliver her speech on the final day of the Conservative Party annual conference in October 2017
She added he ‘should not be putting parliament against the people’.
‘The constant escalation of the combat between parliament and the people leading to protests is really unwise and will lead to dangerous outcomes. I have said this to him and I have been ignored.’
Last night Tory sources said Ms Rudd’s brother Roland, a multimillionaire lobbyist who was a leading figure in the Remain campaign, had exerted ‘huge amounts of pressure on his sister to walk, it was coming from all sides, her family and the MPs’.
In her resignation letter to the Prime Minister, Ms Rudd said: ‘I no longer believe leaving with a deal is the Government’s main objective. The Government is expending a lot of energy to prepare for no deal, but I have not seen the same level of intensity go into talks with the European Union.
‘I must also address the assault on decency and democracy that took place last week when you sacked 21 loyal One Nation Conservatives. This short-sighted culling of my colleagues has stripped the Party of broadminded and dedicated Conservative MPs. I cannot support this act of political vandalism’.
Last night a furious Number 10 source said: ‘As the polls show, the voters are quite happy for the PM to get rid of people who don’t want us to sort out Brexit.
‘There are plenty of talented younger MPs to replace any deadwood.’
Ms Rudd said this morning as she appeared on the BBC’s Andrew Marr Show: ‘I believe he is trying to get a deal with the EU, I am just saying what I have seen in government is that there is this huge machine preparing for No Deal.
‘You might expect in the balance between getting a deal and no-deal 50/50 in terms of work but it’s not that, it’s like 80 per cent to 90 per cent of government time going into preparing for no-deal and the absence of trying to get a deal has driven 21 of my colleagues to rebel, and I need to join them.’
Dominic Raab, the Foreign Secretary, said his former colleague knew what she was signing up for.
Defending the decision to sack the 21 rebel MPs, Mr Raab said this morning that Mr Johnson was ‘right to restore some discipline’.
He told Sky News: ‘In fairness, when she took the Cabinet role everyone was asked “do you accept and will you sign up to and do you support the Prime Minister’s plan to leave by October, preferably with a deal but if not come what may?”‘
‘We all accepted that and I think that the Prime Minister was right to restore some discipline and I think he is right to expect it from his top team.’
Mr Javid said the government ‘will obey all laws’ but ‘not change its policy’ on No Deal.
He also insisted Mr Johnson ‘will not be resigning’ as he accused Remainer rebels of ‘kneecapping’ the government’s negotiating strategy.
Mr Johnson has been accused of planning to set the EU ‘on fire’ as the only way to keep his grip on power and hit next month’s Brexit deadline.
Last week he said he would rather be ‘dead in a ditch’ than obey Remainer MPs, making his resignation seem inevitable if no alternative can be found – unless he breaks the law by simply ignoring the will of Parliament.
Dominic Raab this morning told Sky News that Ms Rudd knew what she was signing up for when she took a role in Mr Johnson’s Cabinet
Senior civil servants started making preparations on Friday for Mr Johnson to leave Downing Street as early as tomorrow – giving Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn the chance to form a rival administration.
But Downing Street sources insist that Mr Johnson’s immediate resignation is not under consideration.
The Prime Minister will tomorrow make a second attempt to try to break the deadlock by asking the Commons to back a general election on October 15.
But Labour’s opposition to a pre-Brexit poll means he is likely to fail, and one option being considered in Downing Street is for Mr Johnson to trigger a vote of no confidence in himself in order to get an Election.
Number 10 is also considering adopting a ‘kick us out strategy’ of disrupting proceedings in Brussels to make sure Brexit happens on time.
If Brussels fails to strike an acceptable deal the UK Government would use legal chicanery to undermine the EU from within.
However, last night a senior source close to the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier described the plan as ‘desperate’, while another likened Mr Johnson to ‘the drunk at the party’ and accused him of ‘trying to get thrown out by setting the whole house on fire’.
Under the disruption strategy, Mr Johnson’s allies believe that, by refusing to appoint a UK Commissioner to Brussels beyond the end of October, from the start of November the EU will ‘no longer be legally constituted’ – unless they vote to reduce the number of member countries to 27.
This process would then be vetoed by the UK, which his allies think the EU ‘cannot accommodate’ and would therefore kick the UK out.
After a torrid week of high drama for the Prime Minister, in other developments:
- Downing Street sources described as hysterical a warning by former chief prosecutor Lord Macdonald, who said ‘the law should be followed’ by the PM. The crossbench peer said: ‘A refusal in the face of that would amount to contempt of court which could find that person in prison’, adding that it was ‘not an extreme outcome’.
- Special adviser to the Government Dominic Cummings told aides to hold their nerve in the face of the Remainer ‘meltdown’ and be ‘cool like Fonzies’ and they would ultimately ‘trounce Corbyn’.
- Downing Street plans to suspend Parliament as early as tomorrow evening if MPs vote down Mr Johnson’s second attempt to trigger an election.
- Last night, a new poll showed the Conservatives had extended their lead over Labour as pro-Brexit voters return to the party. The Opinium poll for the Observer newspaper puts the Tories on 35, Labour on 25, the Liberal Democrats on 17 and the Brexit Party on 13.
- Theresa May emerged as the figurehead in a campaign to reverse Mr Johnson’s controversial purging of rebellious Tory MPs.
- Furious Downing Street aides blamed ‘wrecker’ MPs for destroying nascent talks with European capitals about a two-year time limit on the hated EU backstop.
- Business Secretary Andrea Leadsom announced that the Tories would run a candidate against John Bercow at the next election, ending his career as Speaker.
- Nigel Farage offered the Conservatives a pact to ‘destroy Corbyn’ if Mr Johnson goes for a No Deal Brexit.
- Former Chancellor Philip Hammond, who lost the party whip after rebelling last week, accused rivals of trying to ‘smear’ him after The Mail on Sunday was handed a dossier of allegations against him
- Leaked Cabinet details showed that Michael Gove is preparing to mobilise 1,600 troops to drive petrol tankers to deal with fuel shortages in the event of no deal.
On Friday evening Mr Cummings warned Government special advisers ‘we have a different interpretation of the legislation’ barring a No Deal Brexit, going even further than the Mr Johnson, who said on Friday that the Bill only obliged the Government to delay our EU departure ‘in theory’.
The source said that, while Mr Corbyn was ‘hiding’ from an election, Downing Street and Conservative Campaign HQ were ‘ramping up’ preparations for a vote.
Downing Street has begun official negotiations with executives from the BBC, ITV and Sky over live TV electoral events, including a head-to-head between Mr Johnson and Mr Corbyn.
The source added that Brussels would only grant the UK a Brexit extension if the UK engaged in ‘sincere co-operation’ – which is not the plan. ‘If we engage in obstructive behaviour it would lead to the undermining of EU interests and would leave them questioning the UK’s membership’, the source said.
Lib Dem MEP Luisa Porritt said: ‘Trying to get thrown out by setting the whole house on fire is inconsistent with the Government’s stated aim, which is to negotiate a deal. Boris Johnson increasingly resembles the drunk at the party.
‘His reckless threats risk undermining future trade talks before they have even begun.’
However, the Government source added: ‘Nobody should be in any doubt that we will leave on October 31.’
Dominic Cummings, 47, (left outside his home in London yesterday) is understood to have a ‘different interpretation’ of the meaning and effect of the rebel anti-No Deal bill – which is expected to receive royal assent on Monday. It comes as Mr Johnson (right, in Scotland yesterday) said he would not entertain seeking another deadline extension from Brussels
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