Should You Buy Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) For Its Upcoming Dividend?

Royal Mail plc (LON:RMG) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in four days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company’s books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Therefore, if you purchase Royal Mail’s shares on or after the 2nd of December, you won’t be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 12th of January.

The company’s next dividend payment will be UK£0.067 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of UK£0.13 per share. Last year’s total dividend payments show that Royal Mail has a trailing yield of 2.7% on the current share price of £5.056. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Royal Mail

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Royal Mail paid out just 19% of its profit last year, which we think is conservatively low and leaves plenty of margin for unexpected circumstances. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Luckily it paid out just 11% of its free cash flow last year.

It’s encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don’t drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company’s payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it’s easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. That’s why it’s comforting to see Royal Mail’s earnings have been skyrocketing, up 32% per annum for the past five years. Royal Mail earnings per share have been sprinting ahead like the Road Runner at a track and field day; scarcely stopping even for a cheeky “beep-beep”. We also like that it is reinvesting most of its profits in its business.’

The main way most investors will assess a company’s dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. It looks like the Royal Mail dividends are largely the same as they were seven years ago.

Final Takeaway

Is Royal Mail worth buying for its dividend? It’s great that Royal Mail is growing earnings per share while simultaneously paying out a low percentage of both its earnings and cash flow. It’s disappointing to see the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, but as things stand now, the low payout ratio suggests a conservative approach to dividends, which we like. Royal Mail looks solid on this analysis overall, and we’d definitely consider investigating it more closely.

While it’s tempting to invest in Royal Mail for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we’ve spotted with Royal Mail (including 1 which doesn’t sit too well with us).

We wouldn’t recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here’s a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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